FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht

FC Volendam64%
Draw20%
Jong Utrecht16%

2.37 expected goals for FC Volendam

0.96 expected goals for Jong Utrecht

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes FC Volendam the clear favourite: 64% to win. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
Over 2.5 goals61%It happened
Over 3.5 goals43%It happened
Over 4.5 goals24%It happened

Both teams score57%
FC Volendam or draw85%
Draw or Jong Utrecht36%
No draw80%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.2 for FC Volendam and 4.8 for Jong Utrecht

Over 8.5 corners61%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.9 for FC Volendam and 2.0 for Jong Utrecht

Over 3.5 cards54%
Over 4.5 cards34%
Over 5.5 cards19%

Shots

30.4 expected

15.7 for FC Volendam and 14.7 for Jong Utrecht

Over 20.5 shots91%
Over 22.5 shots85%
Over 24.5 shots77%

Fouls

25.5 expected

12.4 for FC Volendam and 13.1 for Jong Utrecht

Over 20.5 fouls82%
Over 22.5 fouls70%
Over 24.5 fouls56%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.