Friday 23 October, 13:00
Final score
FC Eindhoven1-2Jong PSV U21
The model's most likely result happened: a Jong PSV U21 win (40%).
FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21
- FC Eindhoven37%
- Draw23%
- Jong PSV U2140%
1.43 expected goals for FC Eindhoven
1.54 expected goals for Jong PSV U21
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen
- Both teams score58%
- FC Eindhoven or draw60%
- Draw or Jong PSV U2163%
- No draw77%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.3 for FC Eindhoven and 4.8 for Jong PSV U21
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.7 expected
1.8 for FC Eindhoven and 1.9 for Jong PSV U21
- Over 3.5 cards50%
- Over 4.5 cards31%
- Over 5.5 cards17%
Shots
27.6 expected
15.1 for FC Eindhoven and 12.5 for Jong PSV U21
- Over 20.5 shots84%
- Over 22.5 shots75%
- Over 24.5 shots65%
Fouls
23.4 expected
11.3 for FC Eindhoven and 12.1 for Jong PSV U21
- Over 20.5 fouls70%
- Over 22.5 fouls55%
- Over 24.5 fouls40%
Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.