HB Koge vs Aalborg
- HB Koge41%
- Draw25%
- Aalborg34%
1.57 expected goals for HB Koge
1.39 expected goals for Aalborg
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 41%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the HB Koge attack, which scores 39% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Aalborg defence, which lets in 26% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
HB Koge
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- HB Koge attack+39%
- Aalborg defence−26%
Expected goals1.57
Aalborg
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Aalborg attack+31%
- HB Koge defence−22%
Expected goals1.39
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Over 3.5 goals34%
- Over 4.5 goals18%
- Both teams score54%
- HB Koge or draw66%
- Draw or Aalborg59%
- No draw75%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.