Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Denmark)

Saturday 24 October, 07:00

Final score

Hillerød2-1Aalborg

The model's most likely result happened: a Hillerød win (50%).

Hillerød vs Aalborg

  1. Hillerød50%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Aalborg27%

1.83 expected goals for Hillerød

1.19 expected goals for Aalborg

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Hillerød has the edge (50%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Aalborg win at 27%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.