Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Denmark)

Saturday 24 October, 07:00

Final score

AB Copenhagen1-0Kolding IF

The model's most likely result happened: a AB Copenhagen win (47%).

AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF

  1. AB Copenhagen47%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Kolding IF29%

1.70 expected goals for AB Copenhagen

1.20 expected goals for Kolding IF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

AB Copenhagen has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Kolding IF win at 29%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals79%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.