Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

Club Tijuana41%
Draw28%
Santos Laguna31%

1.33 expected goals for Club Tijuana

1.24 expected goals for Santos Laguna

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Club Tijuana has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Santos Laguna win at 31%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 11.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
Over 2.5 goals49%It happened
Over 3.5 goals26%It happened
Over 4.5 goals12%It happened

Both teams score55%
Club Tijuana or draw70%
Draw or Santos Laguna59%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.4 expected

5.9 for Club Tijuana and 5.5 for Santos Laguna

Over 8.5 corners74%
Over 9.5 corners65%
Over 10.5 corners55%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.9 for Club Tijuana and 2.5 for Santos Laguna

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards43%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

30.9 expected

16.2 for Club Tijuana and 14.6 for Santos Laguna

Over 20.5 shots92%
Over 22.5 shots86%
Over 24.5 shots78%

Fouls

23.3 expected

10.2 for Club Tijuana and 13.1 for Santos Laguna

Over 20.5 fouls69%
Over 22.5 fouls54%
Over 24.5 fouls39%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.