Probably Football

Matches

Liga MX (Mexico)

Saturday 24 October, 23:00

Final score

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1Tigres UANL

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a U.N.A.M. - Pumas win (38%).

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL

  1. U.N.A.M. - Pumas38%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Tigres UANL33%

1.20 expected goals for U.N.A.M. - Pumas

1.26 expected goals for Tigres UANL

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals23%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.3 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 4.8 for Tigres UANL

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 2.0 for Tigres UANL

  1. Over 3.5 cards53%
  2. Over 4.5 cards33%
  3. Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

27.5 expected

14.9 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 12.6 for Tigres UANL

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots75%
  3. Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

23.4 expected

11.8 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 11.6 for Tigres UANL

  1. Over 20.5 fouls70%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls55%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls40%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.