Probably Football

Matches

Liga MX (Mexico)

Friday 23 October, 22:00

Final score

Atlante FC0-1Atletico San Luis

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Atlante FC win (42%).

Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis

  1. Atlante FC42%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Atletico San Luis32%

1.54 expected goals for Atlante FC

1.47 expected goals for Atletico San Luis

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Atlante FC has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Atletico San Luis win at 32%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 10.7 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.7 expected

6.8 for Atlante FC and 3.9 for Atletico San Luis

  1. Over 8.5 corners68%
  2. Over 9.5 corners58%
  3. Over 10.5 corners48%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for Atlante FC and 2.0 for Atletico San Luis

  1. Over 3.5 cards52%
  2. Over 4.5 cards33%
  3. Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

32.4 expected

20.7 for Atlante FC and 11.7 for Atletico San Luis

  1. Over 20.5 shots93%
  2. Over 22.5 shots88%
  3. Over 24.5 shots82%

Fouls

21.8 expected

11.2 for Atlante FC and 10.6 for Atletico San Luis

  1. Over 20.5 fouls58%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls43%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls28%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.