Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Santos Laguna39%
Draw26%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas35%

1.43 expected goals for Santos Laguna

1.53 expected goals for U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 11.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
Over 2.5 goals54%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score58%
Santos Laguna or draw65%
Draw or U.N.A.M. - Pumas61%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.1 expected

6.0 for Santos Laguna and 5.2 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Over 8.5 corners71%
Over 9.5 corners62%
Over 10.5 corners52%

Cards

3.8 expected

1.8 for Santos Laguna and 2.0 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Over 3.5 cards52%
Over 4.5 cards32%
Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

31.4 expected

18.4 for Santos Laguna and 13.0 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Over 20.5 shots92%
Over 22.5 shots87%
Over 24.5 shots80%

Fouls

21.7 expected

10.8 for Santos Laguna and 11.0 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Over 20.5 fouls58%
Over 22.5 fouls42%
Over 24.5 fouls28%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.