CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul

CF Pachuca35%
Draw26%
Cruz Azul39%

1.34 expected goals for CF Pachuca

1.67 expected goals for Cruz Azul

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Both teams score58%
CF Pachuca or draw61%
Draw or Cruz Azul66%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.7 for CF Pachuca and 4.3 for Cruz Azul

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

5.0 expected

2.2 for CF Pachuca and 2.8 for Cruz Azul

Over 3.5 cards73%
Over 4.5 cards55%
Over 5.5 cards38%

Shots

34.1 expected

17.6 for CF Pachuca and 16.5 for Cruz Azul

Over 20.5 shots96%
Over 22.5 shots92%
Over 24.5 shots87%

Fouls

24.6 expected

12.9 for CF Pachuca and 11.6 for Cruz Azul

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls63%
Over 24.5 fouls49%

Saved before kickoff, on 21 October at 07:01 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.