Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa

Guadalajara Chivas67%
Draw19%
Necaxa14%

2.44 expected goals for Guadalajara Chivas

0.94 expected goals for Necaxa

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Guadalajara Chivas the clear favourite: 67% to win. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals85%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals59%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals44%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals25%It did not happen

Both teams score56%
Guadalajara Chivas or draw86%
Draw or Necaxa33%
No draw81%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.8 for Guadalajara Chivas and 4.3 for Necaxa

Over 8.5 corners62%
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.0 for Guadalajara Chivas and 2.1 for Necaxa

Over 3.5 cards60%
Over 4.5 cards40%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

26.8 expected

16.2 for Guadalajara Chivas and 10.6 for Necaxa

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots71%
Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

23.8 expected

11.5 for Guadalajara Chivas and 12.3 for Necaxa

Over 20.5 fouls72%
Over 22.5 fouls58%
Over 24.5 fouls43%

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:02 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.