Venezia vs Inter

Venezia6%
Draw13%
Inter81%

1.00 expected goals for Venezia

3.15 expected goals for Inter

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Inter the clear favourite: 81% to win. It expects 4.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
Over 2.5 goals60%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals60%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals40%It did not happen

Both teams score57%
Venezia or draw19%
Draw or Inter94%
No draw87%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

4.6 for Venezia and 4.5 for Inter

Over 8.5 corners53%
Over 9.5 corners42%
Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

5.1 expected

2.7 for Venezia and 2.4 for Inter

Over 3.5 cards75%
Over 4.5 cards58%
Over 5.5 cards40%

Shots

31.5 expected

13.2 for Venezia and 18.3 for Inter

Over 20.5 shots92%
Over 22.5 shots87%
Over 24.5 shots79%

Fouls

21.6 expected

11.2 for Venezia and 10.4 for Inter

Over 20.5 fouls57%
Over 22.5 fouls41%
Over 24.5 fouls27%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.