Lecce vs Juventus

Lecce12%
Draw25%
Juventus63%

0.74 expected goals for Lecce

1.76 expected goals for Juventus

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Juventus the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
Over 1.5 goals72%It happened
Over 2.5 goals49%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals24%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals11%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Lecce or draw37%
Draw or Juventus88%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

4.9 for Lecce and 4.2 for Juventus

Over 8.5 corners53%
Over 9.5 corners42%
Over 10.5 corners32%

Cards

3.5 expected

1.7 for Lecce and 1.7 for Juventus

Over 3.5 cards46%
Over 4.5 cards27%
Over 5.5 cards14%

Shots

24.3 expected

10.7 for Lecce and 13.5 for Juventus

Over 20.5 shots70%
Over 22.5 shots58%
Over 24.5 shots46%

Fouls

23.0 expected

12.4 for Lecce and 10.6 for Juventus

Over 20.5 fouls67%
Over 22.5 fouls52%
Over 24.5 fouls37%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.