Lazio vs Parma

Lazio55%
Draw30%
Parma15%

1.45 expected goals for Lazio

0.60 expected goals for Parma

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Lazio the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
Over 1.5 goals61%It happened
Over 2.5 goals42%It happened
Over 3.5 goals15%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Both teams score47%
Lazio or draw85%
Draw or Parma45%
No draw70%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.6 for Lazio and 4.2 for Parma

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners50%
Over 10.5 corners40%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.5 for Lazio and 2.4 for Parma

Over 3.5 cards55%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

27.5 expected

18.6 for Lazio and 8.9 for Parma

Over 20.5 shots82%
Over 22.5 shots73%
Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

22.4 expected

11.1 for Lazio and 11.3 for Parma

Over 20.5 fouls63%
Over 22.5 fouls48%
Over 24.5 fouls33%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.