Sunday 25 October, 12:30
Final score
Como2-0Sassuolo
The model's most likely result happened: a Como win (71%).
Como vs Sassuolo
- Como71%
- Draw18%
- Sassuolo11%
2.65 expected goals for Como
0.92 expected goals for Sassuolo
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Como the clear favourite: 71% to win. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.8 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals88%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals48%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals29%It did not happen
- Both teams score55%
- Como or draw89%
- Draw or Sassuolo29%
- No draw82%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.8 expected
6.3 for Como and 4.6 for Sassuolo
- Over 8.5 corners69%
- Over 9.5 corners60%
- Over 10.5 corners50%
Cards
4.2 expected
2.1 for Como and 2.1 for Sassuolo
- Over 3.5 cards61%
- Over 4.5 cards42%
- Over 5.5 cards25%
Shots
31.4 expected
20.1 for Como and 11.4 for Sassuolo
- Over 20.5 shots92%
- Over 22.5 shots86%
- Over 24.5 shots79%
Fouls
22.7 expected
11.9 for Como and 10.8 for Sassuolo
- Over 20.5 fouls65%
- Over 22.5 fouls50%
- Over 24.5 fouls35%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.