Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari31%
Draw31%
Bologna38%

1.10 expected goals for Cagliari

1.19 expected goals for Bologna

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.9 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals67%It happened
Over 2.5 goals46%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
Cagliari or draw63%
Draw or Bologna69%
No draw69%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.9 expected

5.4 for Cagliari and 4.5 for Bologna

Over 8.5 corners61%
Over 9.5 corners51%
Over 10.5 corners41%

Cards

3.4 expected

1.4 for Cagliari and 2.0 for Bologna

Over 3.5 cards44%
Over 4.5 cards26%
Over 5.5 cards13%

Shots

26.0 expected

13.9 for Cagliari and 12.1 for Bologna

Over 20.5 shots78%
Over 22.5 shots68%
Over 24.5 shots56%

Fouls

22.5 expected

10.4 for Cagliari and 12.1 for Bologna

Over 20.5 fouls64%
Over 22.5 fouls48%
Over 24.5 fouls34%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.