Chico vs Internacional de Bogota
- Chico34%
- Draw31%
- Internacional de Bogota35%
1.02 expected goals for Chico
1.36 expected goals for Internacional de Bogota
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 35%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Chico attack, which scores 26% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 9.5 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Chico
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Chico attack−26%
- Internacional de Bogota defence−9%
Expected goals1.02
Internacional de Bogota
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Internacional de Bogota attack+12%
- Chico defence−11%
Expected goals1.36
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals90%
- Over 1.5 goals69%
- Over 2.5 goals41%
- Over 3.5 goals22%
- Over 4.5 goals9%
- Both teams score49%
- Chico or draw65%
- Draw or Internacional de Bogota66%
- No draw69%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.5 expected
5.5 for Chico and 3.9 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 8.5 corners56%
- Over 9.5 corners46%
- Over 10.5 corners36%
Cards
4.2 expected
2.0 for Chico and 2.2 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 3.5 cards60%
- Over 4.5 cards41%
- Over 5.5 cards25%
Shots
24.7 expected
13.5 for Chico and 11.2 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 20.5 shots72%
- Over 22.5 shots60%
- Over 24.5 shots48%
Fouls
23.7 expected
11.9 for Chico and 11.8 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 20.5 fouls72%
- Over 22.5 fouls57%
- Over 24.5 fouls42%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.