Santa Fe vs Millonarios

Santa Fe41%
Draw31%
Millonarios28%

1.14 expected goals for Santa Fe

1.09 expected goals for Millonarios

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Santa Fe has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 31% and a Millonarios win at 28%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals66%It happened
Over 2.5 goals41%It happened
Over 3.5 goals19%It happened
Over 4.5 goals8%It happened

Both teams score49%
Santa Fe or draw72%
Draw or Millonarios59%
No draw69%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.4 for Santa Fe and 4.3 for Millonarios

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.1 for Santa Fe and 2.3 for Millonarios

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

25.7 expected

13.6 for Santa Fe and 12.2 for Millonarios

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots66%
Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

23.0 expected

11.7 for Santa Fe and 11.2 for Millonarios

Over 20.5 fouls67%
Over 22.5 fouls52%
Over 24.5 fouls37%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.