Sunday 25 October, 16:00
Final score
Once Caldas1-1Deportivo Pereira
The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a Once Caldas win (62%).
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira
- Once Caldas62%
- Draw27%
- Deportivo Pereira11%
1.74 expected goals for Once Caldas
0.70 expected goals for Deportivo Pereira
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Once Caldas the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 9.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals42%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals23%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen
- Both teams score49%
- Once Caldas or draw89%
- Draw or Deportivo Pereira38%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.0 expected
5.3 for Once Caldas and 3.7 for Deportivo Pereira
- Over 8.5 corners52%
- Over 9.5 corners41%
- Over 10.5 corners31%
Cards
5.3 expected
2.1 for Once Caldas and 3.2 for Deportivo Pereira
- Over 3.5 cards77%
- Over 4.5 cards60%
- Over 5.5 cards43%
Shots
27.0 expected
17.9 for Once Caldas and 9.1 for Deportivo Pereira
- Over 20.5 shots81%
- Over 22.5 shots71%
- Over 24.5 shots60%
Fouls
23.2 expected
11.1 for Once Caldas and 12.2 for Deportivo Pereira
- Over 20.5 fouls69%
- Over 22.5 fouls54%
- Over 24.5 fouls39%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.