Probably Football

Matches

Primera A (Colombia)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Fortaleza FC1-1Deportivo Cali

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Deportivo Cali win (36%).

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali

  1. Fortaleza FC32%
  2. Draw32%
  3. Deportivo Cali36%

0.86 expected goals for Fortaleza FC

1.28 expected goals for Deportivo Cali

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 40% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 8.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals64%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals40%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals17%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.4 expected

4.9 for Fortaleza FC and 3.5 for Deportivo Cali

  1. Over 8.5 corners45%
  2. Over 9.5 corners34%
  3. Over 10.5 corners25%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.3 for Fortaleza FC and 2.5 for Deportivo Cali

  1. Over 3.5 cards71%
  2. Over 4.5 cards53%
  3. Over 5.5 cards36%

Shots

23.3 expected

13.6 for Fortaleza FC and 9.7 for Deportivo Cali

  1. Over 20.5 shots65%
  2. Over 22.5 shots52%
  3. Over 24.5 shots40%

Fouls

26.3 expected

13.8 for Fortaleza FC and 12.5 for Deportivo Cali

  1. Over 20.5 fouls85%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls74%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls61%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.