America de Cali vs Cucuta

America de Cali65%
Draw25%
Cucuta10%

1.93 expected goals for America de Cali

0.74 expected goals for Cucuta

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes America de Cali the clear favourite: 65% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 9.6 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
Over 2.5 goals43%It happened
Over 3.5 goals28%It happened
Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Both teams score49%
America de Cali or draw90%
Draw or Cucuta35%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.6 expected

5.4 for America de Cali and 4.2 for Cucuta

Over 8.5 corners58%
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners37%

Cards

4.9 expected

2.4 for America de Cali and 2.5 for Cucuta

Over 3.5 cards72%
Over 4.5 cards54%
Over 5.5 cards36%

Shots

25.6 expected

15.3 for America de Cali and 10.3 for Cucuta

Over 20.5 shots76%
Over 22.5 shots65%
Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

21.9 expected

10.7 for America de Cali and 11.2 for Cucuta

Over 20.5 fouls59%
Over 22.5 fouls44%
Over 24.5 fouls29%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.