Sunday 25 October, 16:00
Final score
Alianza Valledupar1-0Internacional de Bogota
The model's most likely result happened: a Alianza Valledupar win (37%).
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota
- Alianza Valledupar37%
- Draw29%
- Internacional de Bogota34%
1.28 expected goals for Alianza Valledupar
1.55 expected goals for Internacional de Bogota
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 10.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals78%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals43%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals32%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen
- Both teams score48%
- Alianza Valledupar or draw66%
- Draw or Internacional de Bogota63%
- No draw71%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.4 expected
5.6 for Alianza Valledupar and 4.8 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 8.5 corners66%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners46%
Cards
5.6 expected
3.0 for Alianza Valledupar and 2.6 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 3.5 cards81%
- Over 4.5 cards66%
- Over 5.5 cards49%
Shots
27.6 expected
15.7 for Alianza Valledupar and 11.9 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 20.5 shots84%
- Over 22.5 shots75%
- Over 24.5 shots64%
Fouls
22.2 expected
11.4 for Alianza Valledupar and 10.8 for Internacional de Bogota
- Over 20.5 fouls62%
- Over 22.5 fouls46%
- Over 24.5 fouls32%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.