Final score
Universitario2-2Sport Boys
The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Universitario win (55%).
Universitario vs Sport Boys
- Universitario55%
- Draw26%
- Sport Boys19%
1.61 expected goals for Universitario
0.96 expected goals for Sport Boys
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Universitario the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 10.0 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals26%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen
- Both teams score51%
- Universitario or draw81%
- Draw or Sport Boys45%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.0 expected
5.5 for Universitario and 4.4 for Sport Boys
- Over 8.5 corners62%
- Over 9.5 corners51%
- Over 10.5 corners41%
Cards
4.5 expected
1.9 for Universitario and 2.5 for Sport Boys
- Over 3.5 cards65%
- Over 4.5 cards46%
- Over 5.5 cards29%
Shots
27.8 expected
15.5 for Universitario and 12.3 for Sport Boys
- Over 20.5 shots84%
- Over 22.5 shots75%
- Over 24.5 shots65%
Fouls
25.2 expected
12.2 for Universitario and 13.0 for Sport Boys
- Over 20.5 fouls80%
- Over 22.5 fouls68%
- Over 24.5 fouls53%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is exactly what was published before the match.