Saturday 24 October, 15:00
Final score
Universitario3-0Juan Pablo II College
The model's most likely result happened: a Universitario win (63%).
Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College
- Universitario63%
- Draw21%
- Juan Pablo II College16%
1.97 expected goals for Universitario
1.03 expected goals for Juan Pablo II College
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Universitario the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 8.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals35%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen
- Both teams score55%
- Universitario or draw84%
- Draw or Juan Pablo II College37%
- No draw79%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
8.9 expected
5.0 for Universitario and 3.9 for Juan Pablo II College
- Over 8.5 corners51%
- Over 9.5 corners40%
- Over 10.5 corners31%
Cards
4.7 expected
2.4 for Universitario and 2.2 for Juan Pablo II College
- Over 3.5 cards68%
- Over 4.5 cards50%
- Over 5.5 cards32%
Shots
26.5 expected
14.4 for Universitario and 12.1 for Juan Pablo II College
- Over 20.5 shots80%
- Over 22.5 shots70%
- Over 24.5 shots59%
Fouls
24.1 expected
11.8 for Universitario and 12.3 for Juan Pablo II College
- Over 20.5 fouls74%
- Over 22.5 fouls60%
- Over 24.5 fouls45%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.