Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca

Sport Boys59%
Draw22%
FC Cajamarca19%

1.89 expected goals for Sport Boys

1.11 expected goals for FC Cajamarca

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Sport Boys the clear favourite: 59% to win. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 9.0 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
Over 3.5 goals35%It happened
Over 4.5 goals19%It happened

Both teams score56%
Sport Boys or draw81%
Draw or FC Cajamarca41%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.0 expected

4.8 for Sport Boys and 4.2 for FC Cajamarca

Over 8.5 corners52%
Over 9.5 corners42%
Over 10.5 corners32%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.3 for Sport Boys and 2.1 for FC Cajamarca

Over 3.5 cards64%
Over 4.5 cards45%
Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

29.8 expected

15.2 for Sport Boys and 14.6 for FC Cajamarca

Over 20.5 shots90%
Over 22.5 shots83%
Over 24.5 shots74%

Fouls

25.9 expected

12.7 for Sport Boys and 13.2 for FC Cajamarca

Over 20.5 fouls83%
Over 22.5 fouls72%
Over 24.5 fouls58%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.