Silkeborg vs Lyngby
- Silkeborg32%
- Draw26%
- Lyngby42%
1.63 expected goals for Silkeborg
1.96 expected goals for Lyngby
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
Lyngby has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Silkeborg win at 32%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Lyngby attack, which scores 89% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Silkeborg attack, which scores 62% more goals than an average team. It expects 3.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 61%. And about 9.3 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Silkeborg
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Silkeborg attack+62%
- Lyngby defence−34%
Expected goals1.63
Lyngby
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Lyngby attack+89%
- Silkeborg defence−24%
Expected goals1.96
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Over 3.5 goals48%
- Over 4.5 goals29%
- Both teams score61%
- Silkeborg or draw58%
- Draw or Lyngby68%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.3 expected
4.8 for Silkeborg and 4.5 for Lyngby
- Over 8.5 corners55%
- Over 9.5 corners44%
- Over 10.5 corners34%
Cards
4.4 expected
2.2 for Silkeborg and 2.3 for Lyngby
- Over 3.5 cards65%
- Over 4.5 cards46%
- Over 5.5 cards29%
Shots
25.6 expected
14.3 for Silkeborg and 11.3 for Lyngby
- Over 20.5 shots76%
- Over 22.5 shots65%
- Over 24.5 shots54%
Fouls
25.2 expected
11.6 for Silkeborg and 13.7 for Lyngby
- Over 20.5 fouls80%
- Over 22.5 fouls68%
- Over 24.5 fouls53%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.