Sunday 25 October, 12:00
Final score
Randers FC1-3Brondby
The model's most likely result happened: a Brondby win (42%).
Randers FC vs Brondby
- Randers FC30%
- Draw28%
- Brondby42%
1.17 expected goals for Randers FC
1.47 expected goals for Brondby
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
Brondby has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Randers FC win at 30%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals27%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen
- Both teams score57%
- Randers FC or draw58%
- Draw or Brondby70%
- No draw72%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.1 for Randers FC and 5.1 for Brondby
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners53%
- Over 10.5 corners43%
Cards
3.7 expected
1.7 for Randers FC and 2.0 for Brondby
- Over 3.5 cards50%
- Over 4.5 cards31%
- Over 5.5 cards17%
Shots
27.3 expected
13.7 for Randers FC and 13.6 for Brondby
- Over 20.5 shots83%
- Over 22.5 shots73%
- Over 24.5 shots63%
Fouls
22.7 expected
12.2 for Randers FC and 10.6 for Brondby
- Over 20.5 fouls65%
- Over 22.5 fouls50%
- Over 24.5 fouls35%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.