Probably Football

Matches

HNL (Croatia)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

HNK Gorica0-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win (35%).

HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

  1. HNK Gorica34%
  2. Draw31%
  3. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb35%

1.07 expected goals for HNK Gorica

1.19 expected goals for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 35%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals89%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals67%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals43%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.4 expected

5.4 for HNK Gorica and 4.0 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

  1. Over 8.5 corners56%
  2. Over 9.5 corners45%
  3. Over 10.5 corners36%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for HNK Gorica and 2.3 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

  1. Over 3.5 cards60%
  2. Over 4.5 cards41%
  3. Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

27.2 expected

14.8 for HNK Gorica and 12.4 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

  1. Over 20.5 shots82%
  2. Over 22.5 shots73%
  3. Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

26.5 expected

12.1 for HNK Gorica and 14.4 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

  1. Over 20.5 fouls86%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls76%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls63%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.