Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka

Dinamo Zagreb49%
Draw25%
HNK Rijeka26%

1.71 expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb

1.25 expected goals for HNK Rijeka

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Dinamo Zagreb has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a HNK Rijeka win at 26%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Both teams score53%
Dinamo Zagreb or draw74%
Draw or HNK Rijeka51%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

4.8 for Dinamo Zagreb and 4.5 for HNK Rijeka

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners43%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.8 for Dinamo Zagreb and 2.2 for HNK Rijeka

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

26.3 expected

13.9 for Dinamo Zagreb and 12.4 for HNK Rijeka

Over 20.5 shots79%
Over 22.5 shots69%
Over 24.5 shots58%

Fouls

25.0 expected

12.6 for Dinamo Zagreb and 12.4 for HNK Rijeka

Over 20.5 fouls79%
Over 22.5 fouls66%
Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.