Operario-PR vs Athletic Club

Operario-PR44%
Draw26%
Athletic Club30%

1.42 expected goals for Operario-PR

1.38 expected goals for Athletic Club

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Operario-PR has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Athletic Club win at 30%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals77%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals44%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen

Both teams score48%
Operario-PR or draw70%
Draw or Athletic Club56%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

5.8 for Operario-PR and 4.5 for Athletic Club

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.2 expected

1.9 for Operario-PR and 2.2 for Athletic Club

Over 3.5 cards60%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

30.5 expected

15.9 for Operario-PR and 14.6 for Athletic Club

Over 20.5 shots91%
Over 22.5 shots85%
Over 24.5 shots77%

Fouls

30.3 expected

14.7 for Operario-PR and 15.5 for Athletic Club

Over 20.5 fouls95%
Over 22.5 fouls90%
Over 24.5 fouls83%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.