CRB vs Londrina

CRB55%
Draw23%
Londrina22%

1.84 expected goals for CRB

1.30 expected goals for Londrina

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes CRB the clear favourite: 55% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 48%. And about 11.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Both teams score48%
CRB or draw78%
Draw or Londrina45%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.1 expected

6.3 for CRB and 4.8 for Londrina

Over 8.5 corners71%
Over 9.5 corners61%
Over 10.5 corners52%

Cards

4.3 expected

1.7 for CRB and 2.5 for Londrina

Over 3.5 cards62%
Over 4.5 cards42%
Over 5.5 cards26%

Shots

32.3 expected

20.9 for CRB and 11.4 for Londrina

Over 20.5 shots93%
Over 22.5 shots88%
Over 24.5 shots81%

Fouls

26.9 expected

13.4 for CRB and 13.5 for Londrina

Over 20.5 fouls87%
Over 22.5 fouls78%
Over 24.5 fouls65%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.