Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino

Atletico Goianiense30%
Draw28%
Novorizontino42%

0.86 expected goals for Atletico Goianiense

1.45 expected goals for Novorizontino

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Novorizontino has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Atletico Goianiense win at 30%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 46%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals68%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals39%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals20%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score46%
Atletico Goianiense or draw58%
Draw or Novorizontino70%
No draw72%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.6 for Atletico Goianiense and 4.8 for Novorizontino

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Atletico Goianiense and 2.1 for Novorizontino

Over 3.5 cards58%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

29.5 expected

15.3 for Atletico Goianiense and 14.3 for Novorizontino

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots73%

Fouls

27.1 expected

14.3 for Atletico Goianiense and 12.8 for Novorizontino

Over 20.5 fouls88%
Over 22.5 fouls78%
Over 24.5 fouls66%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.