Probably Football

Matches

Canadian Premier League (Canada)

Sunday 25 October, 15:00

Final score

Cavalry FC1-0Vancouver FC

The model's most likely result happened: a Cavalry FC win (62%).

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC

  1. Cavalry FC62%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Vancouver FC13%

2.24 expected goals for Cavalry FC

0.99 expected goals for Vancouver FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Cavalry FC the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.5 for Cavalry FC and 4.7 for Vancouver FC

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.4 expected

1.9 for Cavalry FC and 2.5 for Vancouver FC

  1. Over 3.5 cards63%
  2. Over 4.5 cards44%
  3. Over 5.5 cards27%

Shots

25.9 expected

16.2 for Cavalry FC and 9.8 for Vancouver FC

  1. Over 20.5 shots77%
  2. Over 22.5 shots67%
  3. Over 24.5 shots55%

Fouls

25.3 expected

11.5 for Cavalry FC and 13.8 for Vancouver FC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls80%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls68%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls54%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.