Canadian Premier League (Canada)
Sunday 25 October, 15:00
Final score
Cavalry FC1-0Vancouver FC
The model's most likely result happened: a Cavalry FC win (62%).
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
- Cavalry FC62%
- Draw25%
- Vancouver FC13%
2.24 expected goals for Cavalry FC
0.99 expected goals for Vancouver FC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Cavalry FC the clear favourite: 62% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals84%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals55%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals40%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen
- Both teams score55%
- Cavalry FC or draw87%
- Draw or Vancouver FC38%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.5 for Cavalry FC and 4.7 for Vancouver FC
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners53%
- Over 10.5 corners43%
Cards
4.4 expected
1.9 for Cavalry FC and 2.5 for Vancouver FC
- Over 3.5 cards63%
- Over 4.5 cards44%
- Over 5.5 cards27%
Shots
25.9 expected
16.2 for Cavalry FC and 9.8 for Vancouver FC
- Over 20.5 shots77%
- Over 22.5 shots67%
- Over 24.5 shots55%
Fouls
25.3 expected
11.5 for Cavalry FC and 13.8 for Vancouver FC
- Over 20.5 fouls80%
- Over 22.5 fouls68%
- Over 24.5 fouls54%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.