Probably Football

Matches

Primera B (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Union Espanola1-2Santiago Wanderers

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Union Espanola win (40%).

Union Espanola vs Santiago Wanderers

  1. Union Espanola40%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Santiago Wanderers31%

1.30 expected goals for Union Espanola

1.36 expected goals for Santiago Wanderers

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Union Espanola has the edge (40%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Santiago Wanderers win at 31%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals75%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals47%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals28%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.