D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe

D. Puerto Montt48%
Draw30%
Union San Felipe22%

1.37 expected goals for D. Puerto Montt

0.61 expected goals for Union San Felipe

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

D. Puerto Montt has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Union San Felipe win at 22%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
Over 1.5 goals60%It happened
Over 2.5 goals44%It happened
Over 3.5 goals14%It happened
Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Both teams score51%
D. Puerto Montt or draw78%
Draw or Union San Felipe52%
No draw71%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.