Antofagasta vs Curico Unido

Antofagasta53%
Draw27%
Curico Unido20%

2.21 expected goals for Antofagasta

0.69 expected goals for Curico Unido

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Antofagasta has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Curico Unido win at 20%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 50%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
Over 2.5 goals48%It happened
Over 3.5 goals33%It happened
Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen

Both teams score50%
Antofagasta or draw80%
Draw or Curico Unido47%
No draw73%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.