Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina

Universidad de Chile51%
Draw24%
Everton de Vina25%

1.78 expected goals for Universidad de Chile

1.08 expected goals for Everton de Vina

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Universidad de Chile has the edge (51%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Everton de Vina win at 25%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals78%It happened
Over 2.5 goals53%It happened
Over 3.5 goals32%It happened
Over 4.5 goals16%It happened

Both teams score54%
Universidad de Chile or draw75%
Draw or Everton de Vina49%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.1 for Universidad de Chile and 4.0 for Everton de Vina

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners43%
Over 10.5 corners33%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.5 for Universidad de Chile and 2.0 for Everton de Vina

Over 3.5 cards66%
Over 4.5 cards47%
Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

27.7 expected

15.4 for Universidad de Chile and 12.3 for Everton de Vina

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

20.7 expected

10.6 for Universidad de Chile and 10.1 for Everton de Vina

Over 20.5 fouls50%
Over 22.5 fouls34%
Over 24.5 fouls21%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.