Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Palestino1-1Colo Colo

The model gave this result 23%. Its most likely result was a Colo Colo win (41%).

Palestino vs Colo Colo

  1. Palestino36%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Colo Colo41%

1.39 expected goals for Palestino

1.89 expected goals for Colo Colo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals56%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals42%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals23%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.2 for Palestino and 4.9 for Colo Colo

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.7 for Palestino and 2.2 for Colo Colo

  1. Over 3.5 cards55%
  2. Over 4.5 cards36%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

27.0 expected

13.7 for Palestino and 13.3 for Colo Colo

  1. Over 20.5 shots82%
  2. Over 22.5 shots72%
  3. Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

20.6 expected

10.0 for Palestino and 10.6 for Colo Colo

  1. Over 20.5 fouls49%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls34%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls21%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.