Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

O'Higgins1-1Cobresal

The model gave this result 22%. Its most likely result was a O'Higgins win (58%).

O'Higgins vs Cobresal

  1. O'Higgins58%
  2. Draw22%
  3. Cobresal20%

1.99 expected goals for O'Higgins

0.96 expected goals for Cobresal

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes O'Higgins the clear favourite: 58% to win. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 11.3 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.3 expected

6.9 for O'Higgins and 4.4 for Cobresal

  1. Over 8.5 corners72%
  2. Over 9.5 corners63%
  3. Over 10.5 corners54%

Cards

5.1 expected

2.3 for O'Higgins and 2.8 for Cobresal

  1. Over 3.5 cards75%
  2. Over 4.5 cards58%
  3. Over 5.5 cards40%

Shots

33.6 expected

22.6 for O'Higgins and 10.9 for Cobresal

  1. Over 20.5 shots94%
  2. Over 22.5 shots90%
  3. Over 24.5 shots84%

Fouls

20.6 expected

8.8 for O'Higgins and 11.8 for Cobresal

  1. Over 20.5 fouls49%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls34%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls21%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.