Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

UAI Urquiza2-0Villa San Carlos

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Villa San Carlos win (36%).

UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos

  1. UAI Urquiza29%
  2. Draw35%
  3. Villa San Carlos36%

0.69 expected goals for UAI Urquiza

0.94 expected goals for Villa San Carlos

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 1.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 31% chance, and both teams scoring, 37%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals80%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals49%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals31%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals8%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals3%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.