Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Deportivo Laferrere1-0Comunicaciones

The model's most likely result happened: a Deportivo Laferrere win (35%).

Deportivo Laferrere vs Comunicaciones

  1. Deportivo Laferrere35%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Comunicaciones32%

1.15 expected goals for Deportivo Laferrere

1.17 expected goals for Comunicaciones

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 35%. It expects 2.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 36% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals68%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals36%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals21%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.