Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Ituzaingó1-3Flandria

The model's most likely result happened: a Flandria win (39%).

Ituzaingó vs Flandria

  1. Ituzaingó26%
  2. Draw35%
  3. Flandria39%

0.79 expected goals for Ituzaingó

1.27 expected goals for Flandria

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 34% chance, and both teams scoring, 42%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals87%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals62%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals34%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals15%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals6%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.