Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Arsenal Sarandi2-1Deportivo Camioneros

The model's most likely result happened: a Arsenal Sarandi win (45%).

Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Camioneros

  1. Arsenal Sarandi45%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Deportivo Camioneros22%

1.35 expected goals for Arsenal Sarandi

0.80 expected goals for Deportivo Camioneros

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Arsenal Sarandi has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 33% and a Deportivo Camioneros win at 22%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 35% chance, and both teams scoring, 43%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals64%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals35%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals17%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals7%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.