Argentino de Merlo vs Deportivo Merlo

Argentino de Merlo41%
Draw33%
Deportivo Merlo26%

1.28 expected goals for Argentino de Merlo

0.95 expected goals for Deportivo Merlo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Argentino de Merlo has the edge (41%), but not by much: a draw is at 33% and a Deportivo Merlo win at 26%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 36% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals66%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals36%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score45%
Argentino de Merlo or draw74%
Draw or Deportivo Merlo59%
No draw67%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.