Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic

Ostersunds FK42%
Draw30%
United Nordic28%

1.22 expected goals for Ostersunds FK

0.97 expected goals for United Nordic

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Ostersunds FK has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a United Nordic win at 28%. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%It happened
Over 1.5 goals65%It happened
Over 2.5 goals51%It happened
Over 3.5 goals18%It happened
Over 4.5 goals7%It happened

Both teams score53%
Ostersunds FK or draw72%
Draw or United Nordic59%
No draw70%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

6.6 for Ostersunds FK and 3.8 for United Nordic

Over 8.5 corners66%
Over 9.5 corners56%
Over 10.5 corners46%

Cards

3.2 expected

1.3 for Ostersunds FK and 2.0 for United Nordic

Over 3.5 cards41%
Over 4.5 cards23%
Over 5.5 cards11%

Shots

21.1 expected

12.8 for Ostersunds FK and 8.3 for United Nordic

Over 20.5 shots51%
Over 22.5 shots38%
Over 24.5 shots27%

Fouls

28.2 expected

16.1 for Ostersunds FK and 12.0 for United Nordic

Over 20.5 fouls91%
Over 22.5 fouls83%
Over 24.5 fouls72%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.