Probably Football

Matches

Superettan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Helsingborg1-1Ljungskile SK

The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a Helsingborg win (36%).

Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK

  1. Helsingborg36%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Ljungskile SK34%

1.18 expected goals for Helsingborg

1.21 expected goals for Ljungskile SK

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 36%. It expects 2.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 10.6 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals90%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals69%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals22%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals9%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.6 expected

5.7 for Helsingborg and 4.8 for Ljungskile SK

  1. Over 8.5 corners67%
  2. Over 9.5 corners57%
  3. Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

3.3 expected

1.4 for Helsingborg and 2.0 for Ljungskile SK

  1. Over 3.5 cards43%
  2. Over 4.5 cards25%
  3. Over 5.5 cards12%

Shots

24.4 expected

12.9 for Helsingborg and 11.4 for Ljungskile SK

  1. Over 20.5 shots71%
  2. Over 22.5 shots59%
  3. Over 24.5 shots46%

Fouls

28.2 expected

8.7 for Helsingborg and 19.5 for Ljungskile SK

  1. Over 20.5 fouls91%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls83%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls72%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.