Probably Football

Matches

Superettan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

IK brage4-5Osters IF

The model's most likely result happened: a Osters IF win (42%).

IK brage vs Osters IF

  1. IK brage33%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Osters IF42%

1.52 expected goals for IK brage

1.94 expected goals for Osters IF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Osters IF has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a IK brage win at 33%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 11.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals45%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals27%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.4 expected

5.8 for IK brage and 5.6 for Osters IF

  1. Over 8.5 corners73%
  2. Over 9.5 corners64%
  3. Over 10.5 corners55%

Cards

3.3 expected

1.5 for IK brage and 1.8 for Osters IF

  1. Over 3.5 cards43%
  2. Over 4.5 cards24%
  3. Over 5.5 cards12%

Shots

24.6 expected

14.1 for IK brage and 10.5 for Osters IF

  1. Over 20.5 shots72%
  2. Over 22.5 shots60%
  3. Over 24.5 shots48%

Fouls

26.0 expected

16.5 for IK brage and 9.4 for Osters IF

  1. Over 20.5 fouls83%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls72%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls59%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.