ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF
- ODD Ballklubb57%
- Draw24%
- Sandnes ULF19%
2.05 expected goals for ODD Ballklubb
1.10 expected goals for Sandnes ULF
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
The model makes ODD Ballklubb the clear favourite: 57% to win. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Sandnes ULF defence, which lets in 50% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Sandnes ULF attack, which scores 33% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
ODD Ballklubb
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- ODD Ballklubb attack−9%
- Sandnes ULF defence+50%
Expected goals2.05
Sandnes ULF
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Sandnes ULF attack−33%
- ODD Ballklubb defence+21%
Expected goals1.11
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Over 3.5 goals39%
- Over 4.5 goals21%
- Both teams score59%
- ODD Ballklubb or draw81%
- Draw or Sandnes ULF43%
- No draw76%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.