Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Norway)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Haugesund3-2hodd

The model's most likely result happened: a Haugesund win (65%).

Haugesund vs hodd

  1. Haugesund65%
  2. Draw19%
  3. hodd16%

2.85 expected goals for Haugesund

1.43 expected goals for hodd

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Haugesund the clear favourite: 65% to win. It expects 4.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 66%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals93%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals71%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals62%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals43%It happened

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.