Sunday 25 October, 11:00
Final score
Viking3-1Tromso
The model's most likely result happened: a Viking win (73%).
Viking vs Tromso
- Viking73%
- Draw14%
- Tromso13%
2.91 expected goals for Viking
1.25 expected goals for Tromso
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Viking the clear favourite: 73% to win. It expects 4.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 10.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals71%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals60%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals40%It did not happen
- Both teams score62%
- Viking or draw87%
- Draw or Tromso27%
- No draw86%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.6 expected
5.5 for Viking and 5.1 for Tromso
- Over 8.5 corners67%
- Over 9.5 corners57%
- Over 10.5 corners47%
Cards
3.7 expected
1.4 for Viking and 2.3 for Tromso
- Over 3.5 cards50%
- Over 4.5 cards31%
- Over 5.5 cards16%
Shots
28.9 expected
16.0 for Viking and 12.8 for Tromso
- Over 20.5 shots87%
- Over 22.5 shots80%
- Over 24.5 shots70%
Fouls
23.0 expected
11.8 for Viking and 11.2 for Tromso
- Over 20.5 fouls67%
- Over 22.5 fouls52%
- Over 24.5 fouls37%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.